A Novel Ensemble Learning Framework for Nonlinear Modeling of UV Exposure and Skin Damage
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29284/d4pqe975Keywords:
Ultraviolet Index, Skin Damage Index, Personalized UV Risk, Environmental Sensing, Ensemble Learning, Predictive Modeling, Dermatological Risk Assessment, Mobile Health.Abstract
The Ultraviolet Index (UVI) is widely used to communicate the intensity of solar ultraviolet radiation, yet it remains a coarse public warning rather than a truly personalized risk indicator. The same ambient UVI can lead to very different biological outcomes once exposure duration, atmospheric conditions, and individual skin sensitivity are taken into account. This revised manuscript presents a structured framework for personalized UV risk prediction that combines multisource environmental sensing with nonlinear modeling and ensemble learning. At the core of the framework is a Skin Damage Index (SDI) that grows nonlinearly with UVI and exposure time, reflecting the fact that harm does not increase in a simple one-to-one manner at higher radiation levels. A fused prediction layer then integrates Random Forest, gradient boosting, and neural networks so that noisy tabular inputs, interaction-heavy patterns, and subtle nonlinear dependencies can be handled together rather than in isolation. The paper also introduces a modular architecture for data ingestion, preprocessing, inference, and user-facing recommendation delivery, making the framework suitable for implementation in mobile health platforms, wearable systems, and preventive dermatology applications. To improve interpretability, the manuscript includes system diagrams and analytical visualizations that show how risk evolves across different UV intensities and exposure durations. Overall, the work reframes UV safety from a single-number advisory problem into a personalized, context-aware prediction problem that is better aligned with real-world skin exposure.
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

