An Intelligent Framework For Agricultural Growth Forecasting Using Weather-Based Deep Learning Models
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29284/pz5hp896Keywords:
Agricultural growth prediction, Weather forecasting, Deep learning, Machine learning, Smart agricultureAbstract
Accurate forecasting of agricultural growth is essential for improving crop productivity, food security, and sustainable farming practices. Agricultural growth is strongly influenced by weather conditions such as temperature, rainfall, humidity, and soil moisture, which vary dynamically over time. Traditional statistical and machine learning models often struggle to capture complex; non-linear relationships present in large-scale agricultural and climatic datasets. Recent advances in deep learning provide powerful tools for modelling such complex patterns and improving prediction accuracy. This research proposes an intelligent framework for agricultural growth forecasting using weather-based deep learning models. The framework integrates historical weather data and crop-related features to predict agricultural growth more accurately. Deep learning models are developed and evaluated, and their performance is compared with traditional machine learning approaches. Experimental results demonstrate that deep learning models achieve higher accuracy and lower prediction error due to their ability to learn temporal and spatial dependencies from weather data. The proposed framework supports data-driven decision-making and can assist farmers and agricultural planners in improving crop management strategies.
References
1. P. Patil and R. Kumar, “Crop growth prediction using statistical and machine learning models,” Agricultural Informatics, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 45–54, 2018.
2. S. Ramesh and T. Devi, “Weather-based crop yield analysis using regression models,” International Journal of Agricultural Science, vol. 7, no. 3, pp. 110–118, 2017.
3. J. Quinlan, “Decision tree induction for agricultural data analysis,” Machine Learning, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 81–106, 1993.
4. K. Singh and A. Sharma, “Support vector machine approach for crop yield prediction,” Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, vol. 135, pp. 1–10, 2017.
5. A. Ghosh and S. Bala, “Random forest-based crop growth prediction using climatic features,” Agricultural Systems, vol. 176, pp. 102–110, 2019.
6. R. Jha and A. Singh, “Challenges in machine learning-based crop prediction,” IEEE ICIT, pp. 345–350, 2018.
7. J. Kennedy and R. Eberhart, “Particle swarm optimization,” in Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. Neural Networks, 1995, pp. 1942–1948.
8. D. E. Goldberg, Genetic Algorithms in Search, Optimization and Machine Learning. Addison-Wesley, 1989.
9. M. Bharti and A. Gupta, “Hybrid PSO–ML framework for agricultural prediction,” Journal of Intelligent Agriculture, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 22–30, 2020.
10. S. Das et al., “Optimization-based feature selection for crop forecasting,” Applied Soft Computing, vol. 92, pp. 106–115, 2020.
11. Y. Li, X. Chen, and L. Zhang, “CNN-based crop growth monitoring using satellite imagery,” Remote Sensing, vol. 12, no. 6, pp. 1–16, 2020.
12. R. Mehta and P. Jain, “Deep learning for crop health assessment using remote sensing,” IEEE JSTARS, vol. 14, pp. 845–854, 2021.
13. S. Hochreiter and J. Schmidhuber, “Long short-term memory,” Neural Computation, vol. 9, no. 8, pp. 1735–1780, 1997.
14. M. Chen and X. Wu, “LSTM-based agricultural time-series prediction,” Information Processing in Agriculture, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 212–220, 2021.
15. A. Sharma and P. Kumar, “Weather-driven LSTM models for crop growth forecasting,” AI in Agriculture, vol. 4, pp. 40–50, 2020.
16. V. Kumar et al., “Deep learning approaches for agricultural yield prediction,” IEEE Access, vol. 8, pp. 173–185, 2020.
17. J. Lu and Y. Wang, “CNN–LSTM hybrid model for crop yield estimation,” Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, vol. 170, pp. 105–112, 2020.
18. S. Ibrahim et al., “Spatio-temporal deep learning for agricultural forecasting,” Remote Sensing Applications, vol. 21, pp. 100–108, 2021.
19. A. Thomas and R. George, “Comparative study of ML and DL models for crop prediction,” Computational Agriculture Review, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 60–72, 2021.
20. R. Gupta and V. Jain, “Performance evaluation of deep learning in agriculture,” AI in Agriculture, vol. 5, pp. 36–45, 2021.
21. T. Chen and C. Guestrin, “XGBoost for scalable crop prediction,” KDD, pp. 785–794, 2016.
22. S. Banerjee et al., “Smart agriculture using deep learning-based forecasting,” IEEE Access, vol. 9, pp. 121–132, 2021.
23. A. Prakash and D. Sen, “Real-time crop monitoring using AI,” Sustainable Computing, vol. 30, pp. 100–108, 2021.
24. F. Sun et al., “Survey on deep learning for agricultural prediction,” Agronomy, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 1–20, 2020.
25. L. Zhang and Y. Hu, “Weather-based deep learning models for agricultural forecasting: A review,” Sustainability, vol. 13, no. 5, pp. 1–18, 2021.
26. P. Rajesh and V. Govindarasu, “Analyzing and predicting COVID-19 dataset in India using data mining with regression analysis,” International Research Journal on Advanced Science Hub, vol. 3, pp. 91–95, 2021.
27. P. Rajesh, M. Karthikeyan, B. Santhosh Kumar, and M. Y. Mohamed Parvees, “Comparative study of decision tree approaches in data mining using chronic disease indicators (CDI) data,” Journal of Computational and Theoretical Nanoscience, vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 1472–1477, 2019.
28. M. Salameh, K. Balaji, A. Murugan, P. Rajesh, P. Hari Kumar, and F. Alotoum, “A novel study on customer relationship management using artificial intelligence in the retail sector,” Journal of Pharmaceutical Negative Results, pp. 9810–9819, 2023.
29. P. Rajesh, M. Karthikeyan, and R. Arulpavai, “Data mining algorithm to predict the factors for agricultural development using stochastic model,” International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering, vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 2713–2717, 2019.
30. P. Rajesh and M. Karthikeyan, “Prediction of agriculture growth and level of concentration in paddy—A stochastic data mining approach,” in Advances in Big Data and Cloud Computing: Proc. ICBDCC 2018, Singapore: Springer, pp. 127–139, 2018.
31. NASA, “POWER Data Access Viewer,” NASA Langley Research Center, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://power.larc.nasa.gov
32. FAO, “FAOSTAT: Climate and Crop Production Database,” Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www.fao.org/faostat
33. NOAA, “National Centers for Environmental Information,” National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov
34. ICAR, “Agro-meteorological and Crop Growth Data,” Indian Council of Agricultural Research, Govt. of India, 2022.
35. USGS, “MODIS and Landsat NDVI Products,” United States Geological Survey, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov
36. G. K. Arun and P. Rajesh, “Analysis and prediction for credit card fraud detection dataset using data mining approaches,” International Journal of Health Sciences, vol. 6, no. S5, pp. 4155–4173, 2022.
37. G. K. Arun and P. Rajesh, “Hunger Search Algorithm with Optimal Deep Learning Driven Credit Card Fraud Detection and Classification Model,” Mathematical Statistician and Engineering Applications, vol. 71, no. 4, pp. 387–406, 2022.
38. P. Rajesh and M. Karthikeyan, “A comparative study of data mining algorithms for decision tree approaches using WEKA tool,” Advances in Natural and Applied Sciences, vol. 11, no. 9, pp. 230–243, 2017.
39. P. Rajesh and B. S. Kumar, “Comparative studies on sustainable development goals (SDG) in India using data mining approach,” Journal of Science, vol. 14, no. 2, pp. 91–93, 2020.
40. S. Ravishankar and P. Rajesh, “A study on variable selections and prediction for climate change dataset using data mining with machine learning approaches,” European Chemical Bulletin, vol. 11, no. 12, pp. 1866–1877, 2022.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

