Investigating The Potential Of Biofuels As A Sustainable Alternative To Fossil Fuels: Deployment Scenarios

Omar Toheeteh Alnhoud; Habes Ali Khawaldeh; Mohammad Al-Smairan; Melad Olimat; Marya Nikolaevna Zherlykina

doi:10.29284/9d4e7j50

Authors

Omar Toheeteh Alnhoud Department of Civil Engineering, Al Al-Bayt University P.O. Box 130040, Al-Mafraq, Jordan
Habes Ali Khawaldeh Renewable Energy Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Al al-Bayt University, Mafraq, Jordan
Mohammad Al-Smairan Renewable Energy Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Al al-Bayt University, Mafraq, Jordan
Melad Olimat Renewable Energy Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Al al-Bayt University, Mafraq, Jordan
Marya Nikolaevna Zherlykina The Department of Housing and Communal Services, Voronezh State Technical University, Voronezh, Russia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29284/9d4e7j50

Keywords:

Biofuel sustainability, System dynamics modeling, Carbon pricing mechanisms, Resource trade-off analysis, Renewable energy transition.

Abstract

This study proposes a system dynamics (SD) approach to evaluate the long-term sustainability and economic feasibility of biofuels as an alternative to fossil fuels. A Python-based SD model will analyze diverse deployment scenarios. The analysis will incorporate variables such as feedstock types, policy frameworks, technological advancements, and investment rates. Environmental sustainability will be assessed through greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, land and water use, and biodiversity impacts. Economic feasibility will focus on production costs, market dynamics, and return on investment (ROI). Sensitivity analysis will identify the critical parameters that influence outcomes. The research aims to provide actionable policy and investment recommendations by mapping trade-offs between biofuel deployment and interconnected systems (food, water, land). Results will highlight the optimal pathways for scaling sustainable biofuel production and identify key tipping points in the energy transition.

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